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VOLUME
06: ISSUE 11
Features:
Hedge Fund - Mutual Fund on Steroids? Past Winner Reboot.
In our weekend edition, we will
be issuing a timely new Trading Alert on one of our biggest-winner past
companies. Investors will want to pay keen attention to this
call as last time around, the activity delivered returns of several
100 percent with in a very short period. We feel that the progress
made since then coupled with the current potential will make for a great
short and long-term trade. This exceptional past winner looks an excellent
candidate for a significant second lightning strike.
And now we return to our regular
and always fascinating programming.
A generic definition of Hedge
Funds is virtually impossible to come across, but suffice it to say
the fairly accurate perception is that they are like Mutual Funds on steroids.
Or maybe crack. Your call...
Hedge Funds are mostly the province
of the wealthy, fearless investors for whom risk-- while a cost of doing
business--must be aggressively managed. While not yet structured for us
average folk, these vehicles do serve us all well by adding liquidity and
trading activity to the markets.
While Hedge Funds are for the most
part quite esoteric in their approach, one common misconception is that
are all run by a bunch of cowboys who have no regard for actually managing
a portfolio and just indiscriminately bet large amounts of other peoples'
or borrowed money while rapidly moving from one complex opportunity to
another.
Au
contraire; at least for the majority.
Interestingly enough, Hedge Funds
share quite a simple premise: protect the downside and the upside will
take care of itself. Over the last 17 years, if you add up the down quarters
in the S&P 500, the cumulative total exceeds 113 percent. The Morningstar
Average Mutual Fund Index fared worse, down more than 115 percent. Using
the VAN Global Hedge Fund Index the cumulative negative return for the
same period was just over 10 percent. Here's the chart:
For now, investors in Hedge Funds
must be well-heeled qualified folk or institutions--as defined by the SEC--
with a large net worth and the ability to dump in the minimum, which is
usually between $250,000-$1 million and the number of investors is limited
to between 100-250. The growth rate of these vehicles is roughly 20 percent
per year and is approaching 10,000 offerings with assets somewhere between
several hundred billion and over $1 trillion.
These ain't your daddy's Mutual Funds.
Hedge Funds can be specific types; from highly aggressive growth and market
timing genres to Market Neutral and Value approaches. And typically, the
manager takes a large chunk of the profits--perhaps 20 percent--as opposed
to the standard remuneration of the average Mutual Fund Manager. With this
as motivation, it shows why Hedge Funds have such a stellar record in down
markets. A manager of this type of vehicle wouldn't survive very long (or
get paid) if he/she delivered a couple of big down years.
Mutual Fund managers on the other
hand get paid regardless of returns.
The other fallacy is that Hedge Funds
use massive amounts of borrowed money and bizarre, risky derivatives to
leverage their returns. These types of Hedge Funds are known as Global
Macro Funds and, while they tend to get the press, they actually only make
up around 5 percent of the sector. Most hedge Funds use limited amounts
of derivatives for hedging, or not at all. The majority uses no form of
leverage.
One of the most popular Hedge Fund
strategies is short selling, something some Mutual Funds can do on a very
limited basis or not at all, depending on their mandate and appropriate
SEC regs. Since Hedge Funds are beyond the purview of the SEC, due to the
profile and sophistication of their investors, virtually any strategy is
fair game. These Finds may short sell, use derivatives such as puts, calls
or futures, buy distressed securities, employ fixed income strategies,
swap currencies, trade global bonds, including junk, arbitrage, buy microcap
stocks, play in any global market, scalp IPO's as well as try to profit
from event driven and special situations.
There's
not much they can't do. For this reason, and the great remuneration potential
for managers, Hedge Funds attract the best and brightest to their ranks.
Even though Hedge Funds pay special attention to protect the downside,
they are interested in individual strategies that in their totality will
deliver good returns in any market to their investors.
Interestingly, the magic to hedge
funds is more to protect capital than to deliver stellar moves in good
times. For that reason, they should only make up a part of a large diversified
portfolio. As the chart shows, the returns were best when the S&P looked
ugly and acted badly.
While Hedge Funds are beyond the
reach of most investors, for those who can afford the entry fee and requirements,
a position may make sense more as a ' stop loss' type vehicle with returns
in good times as the gravy. It all gets down to diversifying risk. No matter
whether you can afford to take advantage of a Hedge Fund or not, that's
a lesson we can all take to the Bank.
We
Value Your Feedback
Got comments, questions or suggestions?
Send 'em on over: Editor@smallcapnetwork.com
If you wish to send a written request
or inquiry, please send it to our physical address:
TGR Group, LLC
4653 Carmel Mtn Rd Suite 308 #402
San Diego, CA 92130
Lightning
to Strike Again?
As
mentioned over yonder, this weekend we'll be issuing a Trading Alert on
a company that we have covered extensively in the past. Last time we booked
a return of several 100 percent in a few months and, with all that's gone
on since then, looks to be time to have another go. Don't email me and
ask the name. My lips and keyboard are sealed...at least until the weekend.
Should be fun and profitable...
CISCO
Moving Nicely
In
our Elephant piece last December one of the neat stocks we profiled was
Cisco. Then, $17.50, now $19.35. A snappy 11 percent return in a few weeks.
The company announced good numbers last night and the shares launched up
over $1 this am. Took a bunch of other stocks along for the ride. Nice
to see this one move as it seemed woefully undervalued as we mentioned
late last year. Hopefully, this household name is on its way. Stay tuned.
Googlemania
Gone?
Given
the kicking Google has taken over the last couple of weeks, I'd be interested
to know your thoughts. I'll put up a piece on the SCBLOG in a while and
you can leave your comments. Is the back broken on this one or is it the
buy of the year? Analysts were consistently raising their targets and then,
got' surprised' by Google's high tax rate number and the roller coaster
reversed. Will it recover? Moderately inquiring minds need to know...
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