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VOLUME 06: ISSUE 98
On
The Go Gets Off To A Good Start
Well,
it looks like they've done it again. On The Go Technologies (OTCBB:
ONGO) just released their quarterly results. We think it was an impressive
step in the right direction, even if for only one quarter. More on that
in a second.....
The
earnings news came on the heels of yesterday's press release, which was
a nice recap of how far the company has come since 2004. We blogged it
then, but we feel it's worth highlighting here in today's main portion
of the SmallCap Digest. We think you'll be impressed by the long-term progress
as well.
See
if you spot the trend we spotted within yesterday's recap of On The Go's
fiscal results.....
2004 Revenues:
$3.0 million
2005 Revenues:
$5.6 million
2006 Revenues:
$30.0 million (thanks to the purchase of Island Corporation, and Solutions
In Computing)
2007 Projected
Revenues: $40 million
Now,
we know this business of corporate acquisitions can be a shell game. We've
all seen several companies spend two bucks to improve the top line by only
one dollar.....effectively 'buying' their growth, What we want to see are
acquisitions that make sense, and money. Has On The Go done that? From
our point of view, yes, it appears On The Go is on track to do more with
less, so to speak.
Last
year's $30 million in revenue was accompanied by a net loss of $6.3 million.
Before you jump to any conclusions, remember this... last fiscal year,
On The Go spent $1.2 million in financing expenses, and $600K on a debt
restructuring deal. The debt restructure was a one-time cost, and the financing
cost is scheduled to decrease significantly in fiscal 2007. Subtracting
those two amounts would have pared the loss to roughly only $4.5 million.
On a percentage basis, that would have been a very large improvement over
the prior year's loss.
Point
being, no, we don't think the acquisitions were a liability, Rather, they
seem to be shaping up as a pretty nice asset. In other words, we think
shareholders should be pleased.
In
the meantime, we think it's worth mentioning that since the addition of
Island Corporation and Solutions In Computing, the total acquisition debt
has been reduced by $2.8 million. So any lingering finance expenses should
be shrinking as well. Staffing expenses have been reduced by $1.5 million.
Those cost-saving measures are not entirely reflected in last year's figures,
since they were only initiated post-acquisition. However, we think their
absence or smaller impact on next year's books could be a significant help
for On The Go's bottom line.
Today's
Earnings Announcement
So
how did On The Go get their new fiscal year started (which began on August
1st)? We think pretty well. From the press release below, we see that total
revenues for their first quarter (ended October 31) was $7,386,217, which
is a gain of 19.2% from the $6,196,511 the company reported for the quarter
ended October 31, 2005. The per-share loss was whittled down to $0.93 from
a net loss of ($7.86) per share in 2005. And by the way, that loss included
$424K in interest and financing expenses, which as we said, are scheduled
to shrink progressively.
OK,
by this point you may be pretty jazzed about the consistent improvement
we're now seeing each quarter. But how do we feel about what we see?
Keep
in mind this strictly our opinion, but, we tend to like what we see as
well. Sure we'd rather see big profits now - who wouldn't? But that's not
how things work. If earnings were positively huge - and growing - we doubt
we'd see the same upside potential for shares here. Instead, with current
earnings were positive, odds are that everybody and their brother would
already own it...and the per-share trading level could be astronomically
high relative to current levels.
The
way we see it, this is the kind of scenario where trading levels are depressed
largely because other investors only see where On The Go is now - not where
On The Go is likely to be a year from now. However, in our opinion, the
biggest sweet spot for a stock can be as the company 'turns the corner'.
We've been keeping a close eye on this company, and it seems they may be
on the right path here. Only time will really tell, and it may take a few
more quarters until it becomes perfectly evident. At the corporate level
though, we like what the company appears to be doing. Of course, we think
at least a few other investors have to agree before the stock starts to
move. And speaking of.........
There's
Two Sides To Every Coin
We
don't think you should ever confuse a company with its stock. Sometimes
the stock reflects corporate results, and sometimes not. Consistently assuming
great fundamentals will always drive your stocks higher may take a toll
on your bank account.
That's
why we rely on technical analysis as much as fundamental analysis....because
we feel timing can be everything. See, fundamental analysis can help you
find the best-performing or most-improving companies over a long period
of time. But, from our point of view, only technical analysis can fully
illustrate the market's short-term opinion of those fundamentals. (That's
why stocks of great companies can go lower, if the collective opinion of
strong corporate fundamentals is still pessimistic.)
On
The Go's shares, we feel, may be a classic illustration of this idea. Although
still in the red, the company's top lines have been mostly growing for
months, while the loss has been mostly shrinking. Yet, the stock has been
moving lower.
Do
we think On The Go's fundamentals will eventually be reflected in the stock's
trading level? Well, if things continue to progress as they seem to be
right now, we feel the news may eventually strike a chord with investors.
However, to restate our stance, we think timing is everything.
In
that light, we think the 'show me' crowd may not be very compelled by this
chart...at least not yet. From a technical perspective, we see some obstacles
that need to be overcome first before our idea of an appropriate risk-to-reward
scenario is met. Perhaps we're being a little too conservative though;
it should ultimately be the individual investors call.
On
the other hand, we feel aggressive speculators may find the currently-low
trading level attractive, provided you've added this year's persistent
weakness into the thought process. ....this stock may well end up moving
even lower. Yet while we still see the chart as something of a question
mark, we also feel the need to point out the high-volume churning we've
seen since early November. That can be a sign of a bottom. Of course, it
doesn't have to be a sign of anything. We think this sort of approach can
be fruitful, but can simultaneously be nerve-racking.
So
there you go....the earnings news, the recap, and some of our thoughts
on the opportunity of being a shareholder. We feel ONGO is at least worth
a look, short-term, and long-term. However, as of right now we also have
no target and stop (although we might initiate one at a later date if we
see something new materialize). For now, we think the individual investor
has to determine how or if this trading idea is a fit with your overall
strategy.
In
any case, here's the full press release.
On The Go Reports
October 31, 2006 Quarter Revenue Up 19.2% to $7.38M from Year Previous
CONCORD, ON -
December 12, 2006 - On The Go Technologies Group (OTC
Bulletin Board: ONGO, 'the Company'), a leading multi-industry computer
hardware, software and systems integrator, announced today that total revenue
from sales for the quarter ended October 31, 2006 was $7,386,217, a gain
of 19.2% from $6,196,511 reported for the quarter ended October 31, 2005.
Net loss for the
quarter from continuing operations was ($0.93) per share, compared with
a net loss of ($7.86) per share in 2005. This quarter's loss is inclusive
of $424,350 in interest and financing expenses due primarily to new convertible
debentures, deemed beneficial conversion features, which resulted not only
in normal interest expense, but also expense related to that conversion
feature.
As of October
31, 2006, the Company had current assets of $8,534,074 and current liabilities
of $6,709,438 producing a working capital surplus of $1,824,636, as well
as $988,153 in cash.
On The Go Technologies
CEO Stuart Turk noted, 'Much like our recent July 31st year end results,
the Company's sales growth is largely reflective of the revenue potential
that our most recent acquisitions: Infinity Technologies, Island Corporation
and Solutions in Computing, have brought to the corporate table. The Company
also incurred certain expenses associated with those acquisitions, including
new convertible debentures.
Mr. Turk continued,
'Our focus remains on achieving profitability in 2007, and, with the strength
of the revenue generation capacities of all of our divisions' additions
to both organic and new customer growth, On The Go remains well positioned
to move confidently into the rest of the fiscal year. Coupling the sales
appreciation with our effective cost-cutting measures, we believe our goal
of $40 million in revenue for 2007 is strongly underway.'
About On The Go
Technologies Group
On The Go Technologies
Group is a North American corporation focused on acquiring versatile and
profitable companies in the IT sector. OTG has established itself as a
respected industry competitor through its four main divisions: OTG Enterprise,
catering to Fortune 1000 and SME clientele and vendors such as HP, Apple,
IBM, SGI, Extreme Networks and Adobe; OTG Creative, a prominent systems
integrator in the U.S. and Canadian digital entertainment industry; and
OTC Healthcare and OTG Research compiling sophisticated digital solutions
and networks for the diagnostic medical community and the education and
scientific research communities respectively. The company's intention is
to maintain sustained growth in the years to come via continued development
in its existing divisions and an aggressive acquisition schedule.
For more information,
visit http://www.otgtech.com or http://www.otgtech.com/video.
To view a company
profile, visit http://www.otgtech.com/pp.pdf
. To be added to On The Go Technologies Group's e-mail list for company
news, visit http://www.otgtech.com/new_site/inv_pkg_form.htm
This press release
contains forward-looking statements that involve a number of risks and
uncertainties. These forward-looking statements contain words such as "expects,"
"believes," "anticipates" and "intends." Important factors that could cause
actual results to differ materially from those indicated by such forward-looking
statements include, but are not limited to, economic conditions affecting
the B2B environment; continued ability to obtain hardware, software and
peripherals at competitive costs; the company's ability to finance its
planned expansion efforts; the company's ability to manage its planned
growth; and changes in regulations affecting the company's business and
such other risks disclosed from time to time in the company's reports filed
with the Securities and Exchange Commission. The company does not intend
to update any of the forward-looking statements after the date of this
document to conform these statements to actual results or to changes in
management's expectations, except as required by law.
We
Value Your Feedback
Got comments, questions or suggestions?
Send 'em on over: Editor@smallcapnetwork.com
If you wish to send a written request
or inquiry, please send it to our physical address:
TGR Group, LLC
4653 Carmel Mtn Rd Suite 308 #402
San Diego, CA 92130
Eagle
To Acquire Connex Customer Base
We
recently learned Eagle Broadband (AMEX:
EAG) has acquired Connex Services' customer base, which is expected
to add about 50 I.T. clients to Eagle's current base, as well as push I.T.
revenue up by about $600,000. It's a good fit, as Connex offers something
along the same lines Eagle.....management of broadband-based data, voice,
and video services.
Anything
to boost revenues is good - even if it's a modest $600,000. However, it
appears as if Eagle CEO Dave Wicek sees the same bigger picture we do.
In our opinion, the 'first' customer is usually the toughest to get. Every
one after that seems to be easier to get on board. So, the current Connex
customer base can also act as a springboard to introduce other services
Eagle provides. We think the company should be able to take this relatively
small foothold and expand its footprint by quite a bit.
The
deal is doesn't require Eagle to assume any of Connex's debt. Instead,
Eagle will be issuing about 1.2 million unregistered EAG shares to Connex.
For
more details, click
here.
Web2
Corp. To Launch Video-Based Job Search Board
Capitalizing
on what we feel is a broad range of Internet-know-how, Web2 Corporation
(OTCBB: WBTO) announced
yesterday they'll be launching a job search site....with a novel twist.
Rather than an employer just posting a simple job description, a prospective
company can upload a video regarding the opportunity. Likewise, a job-seeker
will be able to upload a video of him or herself as part of a multimedia
job application.
Your
first thought might be that this is just too radical to be of interest
to either side of the equation. However, we've observed - even in just
the last few months - how the use of multimedia (video, audio, with written
word) has become mainstream. YouTube and Yahoo Video are just a couple
of examples of how Internet users are looking to become more digitally
creative. So, we see it not so much as cutting-edge, but rather as pioneering....Web2
Corporation appears ready to lead the way in the next evolution of Web-based
job searches. We'll be excited to see where it all leads.
The
service is scheduled to be launched in January, and will be aptly named
JobMatchPro.com. For more on Web2's newest venture, click
here.
Immune
Response Sets Date for Reverse Split
On
Friday, we finally got word on the long-awaited reverse-split (1:100) of
Immune Response Corporation (OTCBB:
IMNR) shares. The stock will first trade on a post-split basis on December
20th.
Note
that the ticker symbol will temporarily switch to 'IMNRD' to denote that
the stock is trading on a post-split basis, as the highly elevated trading
levels could make an investor think shares had gone ballistic....if they
weren't aware of the split. Around the middle of January, the ticker will
revert back to the old IMNR symbol. If you're following the company's stock,
we'd just recommend using both tickers until the whole deal is done later
in January. That way you'll be sure to receive accurate quotes and all
the news, no matter how your data provider handles the switch.
Eagle
to Submit Plan to Maintain AMEX Listing
Maybe
you already heard, or maybe not, but Eagle Broadband (AMEX: EAG) received
an official notice from the American Stock Exchange - where Eagle's shares
are publicly traded - that the company may not fully meet all if their
listing requirements. Specifically, the AMEX notice to Eagle states that
shareholder equity and continuing losses from operations fall short of
the exchange's standards....as of right now.
As
you might imagine, this announcement made on December 5th pulled shares
lower on the 6th.
While
investor's concerns are understandable, we also think it maybe a case where
the market reacted quickly without really absorbing all the details they
may want or need to. Having had some time to review all the news and digest,
here's our take....
No,
we don't necessarily think this is good news.....because it's not exactly
news at all (meaning it's not exactly bad news higher). The satisfaction
of the AMEX's requirements have been in question for a while - it's simply
that the official August 31st year-end filing had to be reviewed by the
AMEX before the official notice could be delivered. So, it seems as if
the panic selling may have been from those owners who didn't fully know
Eagle's story. Fine. Now that they're getting out of the way, the more
serious investors may be able to scoop up shares at a lower trading level.
The
other key reality we see is simply the 'current' Eagle is not the 'old'
Eagle those past filings represent. Remember, we think Eagle is likely
to become a major IPTV player just as the company describes, but that enterprise
was only started in October. Given enough time, we think Eagle may well
indeed meet the AMEX's requirements using IPTV as the revenue vehicle.....which
was not in place last fiscal year.
Plus,
we don't think other investors read the news too closely. The American
Stock Exchange never said EAG shares were getting de-listed. The exchange
said they might get de-listed if certain requirements continue to go unmet.
Any de-listing wouldn't take place until May 29th of 2008. So, there's
a pretty big window there for Eagle to get things pointed in the right
direction....which we feel they're certainly capable of. As mentioned in
the title, Eagle will be submitting a plan to the AMEX about how they'll
go about meeting those specific AMEX standards in the future. For the time
being, an acceptable plan of action will keep Eagle in good standing with
the exchange, as long as the company does indeed proceed according to that
plan.
Ultimately,
yeah, we - and probably any shareholders - would have rather not had to
contend with some rough publicity. However, we think a little perspective
is on order on the matter. From our point of view, Eagle is still a viable
opportunity, regardless of where it's listed. In the meantime, the AMEX
listing is still likely to be in place for at least another 18 months.
We think that's more than ample to time for the company to prove itself.
For
more details on the AMEX notice, click
here.
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TGR Group, LLC has been paid a fee
of $30,000 cash and 10 Million shares of newly issued restricted stock
by Immune Response Corp. for coverage of the Company.
TGR Group, LLC has been paid a fee
of $25,000 cash and 75,000 shares of newly issued restricted stock by Web2
Corp. for coverage of the Company.
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